• Politics
  • Congress

Why the Senate’s Byrd Rule Could Mean Trouble For Trump’s ‘Big Beautiful Bill’

9 minute read
Updated: | Originally published:

She wasn’t elected and she doesn’t cast votes. But over the past week, Elizabeth MacDonough, the quietly powerful Senate parliamentarian, may have had more influence over Donald Trump’s legislative agenda than anyone else in Washington.

After meeting with Republicans and Democrats behind closed doors, MacDonough in recent days has significantly shrunk the size of the President’s sweeping tax and spending package known as the “One Big Beautiful Bill” by striking several measures that violated an arcane, decades-old Senate rule known as the Byrd Rule, which prohibits provisions that are viewed as “extraneous” to the federal budget in the kind of legislation Republicans are trying to craft. 

The parliamentarian delivered her biggest setback for Republicans on June 26, when she ruled that a controversial measure to hold down Medicaid costs by cracking down on a state provider tax violated the Byrd Rule and needed to be cut. The decision stands to undo hundreds of billions in expected savings that Republican leaders now hope to find elsewhere. It was just the latest in a series of parliamentarian rulings that have left Republicans scrambling. MacDonough could issue additional guidance this week.

The spate of rulings from the Senate parliamentarian, an official appointed by the chamber’s leaders to enforce its rules and precedents, has significantly complicated the prospects of passing Trump’s tax and spending bill by the July 4 deadline he imposed on Congress. Republicans have been scrambling for months to secure enough votes for Trump’s megabill, which centers on extending his 2017 tax cuts and delivering on several of his campaign promises, such as boosting border security spending and eliminating taxes on tips. Support for the package has softened this month as more Republicans warn that it would add trillions of dollars to the deficit without further spending cuts. 

“These are speed bumps along the way,” Senate Majority Leader John Thune told reporters on June 26. “We anticipated those and so we have contingency plans. Obviously, you have to adjust the timing and schedule a little bit, but we're moving forward.”

The parliamentarian’s latest rulings will force Republicans to either strip those provisions from the bill or secure a 60-vote supermajority to keep them in, a nearly impossible hurdle given that Senate Republicans only hold 53 seats. MacDonough ruled that some of the provisions have little business in a budget reconciliation bill, which can make big changes to how the federal government spends money but, under Senate rules, isn’t allowed to substantively change policy. 

MacDonough’s rulings came about after days of behind-the-scenes meetings between her office and Senate staff. They illustrate the often-overlooked power of Senate procedure—and the person tasked with interpreting it. MacDonough, a former Justice Department trial attorney and the first woman to serve as Senate parliamentarian since the role was created in 1935, is Washington’s ultimate rules enforcer. She was appointed in 2012 and has struck prohibited measures from reconciliation bills several times under both Republicans and Democrats.

Now, the parliamentarian’s rulings may force Republicans back to the drawing board just as they were hoping to finalize their legislative centerpiece.

Here’s what to know about the rejected measures.

What is the Byrd Rule?

The Byrd Rule, adopted in 1985, is a procedural constraint named after the late Senator Robert C. Byrd of West Virginia to prohibit “extraneous” provisions from being tacked onto reconciliation bills, which are fast-tracked budget packages that allow legislation to pass with a simple majority, bypassing the 60-vote filibuster threshold.

The rule makes it so that every line of a reconciliation package must have a direct and substantive impact on federal spending or revenues. Provisions that serve primarily policy goals—rather than budgetary ones—are subject to elimination by a parliamentary maneuver known as a point of order. Whether a point of order is sustained is ultimately made by the parliamentarian, who is essentially the Senate’s umpire tasked with providing nonpartisan advice and ensuring that lawmakers are complying with the Senate’s rules. 

Parliamentarians often face backlash during the budget reconciliation process, when they determine whether policy proposals comply with the constraints of the Byrd Rule.

Rep. Greg Steube, a Florida Republican, called on the Senate to overrule the parliamentarian in response to rulings knocking out key Medicaid cuts. “How is it that an unelected swamp bureaucrat, who was appointed by Harry Reid over a decade ago, gets to decide what can and cannot go in President Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill?” Steube posted on X. “The Senate Parliamentarian is not elected. She is not accountable to the American people. Yet she holds veto power over legislation supported by millions of voters. It is time for our elected leaders to take back control. @JDVance should overrule the Parliamentarian and let the will of the people, not some staffer hiding behind Senate procedure, determine the future of this country.”

What’s been cut so far?

MacDonough’s rulings have invalidated a number of headline-grabbing provisions that Republicans were counting on to reap hundreds of billions of dollars in budget savings, including one that would cap states’ ability to collect more federal Medicaid funding via healthcare care provider taxes and a separate plan requiring states to pay a portion of food benefits under the SNAP program—two of the largest spending cuts in the bill. Some of the rejected provisions were key Republican policy priorities, and could make lawmakers less enthusiastic about supporting Trump’s bill. 

The parliamentarian said the proposed change to how states can tax Medicaid providers does not adhere to rules for passing the bill with a simple majority. Medicaid cuts have been among the most thorny provisions to negotiate in the bill, as some Republicans are wary of the practical and political impacts of the Medicaid changes. The parliamentarian also struck down provisions meant to block the use of Medicaid funds for gender-affirming care and to prevent non-citizens from receiving Medicaid or CHIP coverage.

Democrats took a victory lap after the parliamentarian's ruling on the Medicaid tax provision, noting that it blew a $250 billion hole in the megabill’s savings. “Democrats fought and won, striking health care cuts from this bill that would hurt Americans’ walking on an economic tightrope,” said Oregon Sen. Ron Wyden, the top Democrat on the Senate Finance Committee.

The food aid measure, which the parliamentarian said also violated the Byrd Rule, would have required all states to pay a percentage of SNAP benefit costs, with their share increasing if they reported a higher rate of errors in underpaying or overpaying recipients. Some lawmakers warned their states would not be able to make up the difference on food aid, which has long been provided by the federal government, and could force many to lose access to SNAP benefits. Republican Sen. John Boozman of Arkansas, the chairman of the Agriculture Committee, said in a statement that he’s looking for other ways to cut food assistance without violating Senate rules.

The parliamentarian also rejected language authorizing states to conduct border security and immigration enforcement, which traditionally is left to the federal government, ruling that conditioning funds on immigration policy compliance is a policy change unrelated to budgetary outcomes. Republicans are working to adjust that provision to make sure it complies with the rules. Also rejected by the parliamentarian was a provision giving authority for state and local officials to arrest noncitizens suspected of being unlawfully present in the U.S. as well as language that would have blocked certain grant funding to so-called “sanctuary jurisdictions.” 

Another rejected provision would have zeroed out $6.4 billion in funding of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, effectively shuttering the agency. The bureau was created by Democrats as part of the 2010 Dodd-Frank Act in the aftermath of the financial crisis as a way to protect Americans from financial fraud. Republicans have long decried the CFPB as an example of government over-regulation and overreach.

The Senate parliamentarian also blocked a GOP provision intended to limit courts’ ability to hold Trump officials in contempt by requiring plaintiffs to post potentially enormous bonds when asking courts to issue preliminary injunctions or imposing temporary restraining orders against the federal government. Democrats hailed that decision by the parliamentarian, noting that it would have severely undermined the judiciary’s ability to check executive overreach. Senate Democrats “successfully fought for rule of law and struck out this reckless and downright un-American provision,” Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer said in a statement. 

MacDonough also nixed provisions to reduce pay for certain Federal Reserve staff, slash $293 million from the Treasury Department’s Office of Financial Research, and dissolve the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board, which is tasked with overseeing audits of publicly traded companies. Each of these proposals, she ruled, either lacked sufficient budgetary impact or were primarily aimed at changing policy, not federal revenues or outlays.

MacDonough also found that Republicans cannot eliminate a variety of programs from President Joe Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act they had targeted for repeal, although she said they are still permitted to claw back unobligated funds from those initiatives. As such, a measure to repeal a Biden-era EPA rule limiting vehicle emissions was disqualified.

Other Republican provisions the parliamentarian ruled against include: 

  • a measure that would have forced the government to sell off all electric vehicles owned by the Postal Service.
  • a provision that would have exempted certain infrastructure projects from judicial review under the National Environmental Policy Act. The rejected proposal would have allowed companies to pay a fee in exchange for expedited permitting, a move Republicans argued would streamline bureaucratic delays.
  • Republican measures to give Congress more power over federal agency rules and to authorize the executive branch to reorganize federal agencies

Are the parliamentarian's rulings final, or can they be overturned?

The parliamentarian’s decisions could, in theory, be overturned. Senate Majority Leader John Thune of South Dakota has the authority to ignore her ruling by calling for a floor vote to establish a new precedent—essentially overruling the Senate's referee.

Parliamentarians have been ignored in the past, though it is quite rare. In 1975, Vice President Nelson Rockefeller ignored the parliamentarian’s advice as the Senate debated filibuster rules. MacDonough has been overruled twice before: in 2013, when Democrats eliminated filibusters to approve presidential nominees, and in 2017, when Republicans expanded the filibuster ban to include Supreme Court nominations.

But Thune has signaled he has no intention of going down that path this time. “We’re not going there,” the Senate Majority Leader said on June 2 when asked by reporters about overruling MacDonough.

Thune could also fire the Senate Parliamentarian and replace her with one willing to interpret the rules more in line with how Senate Republicans view them.

More Must-Reads from TIME

Write to Nik Popli at nik.popli@time.com